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ZTE Server Shipments Plunge 28% in Q3, Erasing Record Gains from

2026-01-16

According to the latest data released by DataTrack, ZTE's global server shipments experienced a significant pullback in the third quarter of 2025, with single-quarter shipments recording only 43,000 units (43.0 K pcs). Compared to the historical peak of 60,000 units achieved in the second quarter, the QoQ decline reached 28.3%, and shipments also fell by 12.2% compared to the same period last year. This indicates that shipment momentum cooled rapidly from high levels, returning to the average levels seen between 2023 and 2024.

Observing long-term data trends, ZTE's server shipments exhibit high volatility, often driven by single large orders. The shipment volume of 60,000 units in the second quarter of 2025 tied the historical record set in the third quarter of 2022, which usually corresponds to concentrated delivery periods for major clients such as China Mobile or China Telecom. However, the subsequent third quarter immediately saw a correction of nearly 30%, indicating that the quarter lacked support from new tenders of equivalent scale, and market demand retreated rapidly following an extremely high base period.

Regarding this fluctuation, market analysis primarily attributes it to structural adjustments in the capital expenditures of Chinese telecom operators. Although ZTE is actively promoting its "Connectivity + Computing" strategy, and revenue from the computing business increased by 180% YoY in the first three quarters of 2025, demand for traditional general-purpose servers has been suppressed by the reduction in overall operator capital expenditure (Capex). Some institutions point out that as AI servers have higher unit prices but different gross margin structures (around 15%), ZTE's shipment data is prone to severe fluctuations when facing a gap period in tender deliveries.

Looking ahead to the next one to two months (Q4), in accordance with past seasonal conventions, there is usually a "Budget Flush" effect at the end of the year, so shipment volumes are expected to see a slight rebound, though it is not expected to return to the peak of 60,000 units. In the medium to long term (3-6 months), market focus will be locked on the results of the 2026 AI server centralized procurement tenders by China's three major operators, as well as whether ZTE can continue to expand the market share of its liquid-cooled servers and intelligent computing products against the backdrop of restricted domestic chip supplies.

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